Irish premier Simon Harris is hugged by his wife Caoimhe after being re-elected to the Dail parliament as a TD for Wicklow on the first count at the election count centre at Shoreline Leisure Greystones in County Wicklow, south of Dublin, Ireland, after the General Election, Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024. (Niall Carson/PA via AP)
Fianna Fail leader Micheal Martin is hoisted up by his sons Cillian and Micheal Aodh, after he was deemed elected in the Cork South Central constituency at the election count centre at Nemo Rangers GAA Club in Cork, after the General Election, Saturday Nov. 30, 2024. (Jacob King/PA via AP)
Sinn Fein president Mary Lou McDonald celebrates with supporters after arriving at the count at the Royal Dublin Society in Dublin, Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024.(AP Photo/Peter Morrison)
People take a break as the election count continues at RDS Simmonscourt after voters went to the polls during Ireland's election, in Dublin, Sunday, Dec. 1, 2024. (Brian Lawless/PA via AP)
The election count continues at RDS, the Royal Dublin Society, after voters went to the polls during Ireland's election in Dublin, Sunday, Dec. 1, 2024.(AP Photo/Peter Morrison)
Fine Gael politician Paschal Donohoe celebrates with supporters at RDS, the Royal Dublin Society, after voters went to the polls during Ireland's election in Dublin, Sunday, Dec. 1, 2024.(AP Photo/Peter Morrison)
Independant candidate Gerard Hutch arrives at thge RDS, the Royal Dublin Society, after voters went to the polls during Ireland's election in Dublin, Sunday, Dec. 1, 2024.(AP Photo/Peter Morrison)
Green Party Leader Rodrick O'Gorman at the Dublin West count centre at Phibblestown Community Centre, Dublin, Sunday Dec. 1, 2024, as vote counting continues for the Irish General Election. (Niall Carson/PA via AP)
Fine Gael's Paschal Donohoe celebrates being elected at RDS Simmonscourt, as the election count continues in Ireland's election, in Dublin, Sunday Dec. 1, 2024. (Brian Lawless/PA via AP)
Taoiseach and Fine Gael leader Simon Harris speaks to the media as he arrives at the election count centre at Shoreline Leisure Greystones in Co Wicklow, after the General Election, Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024. (Niall Carson/PA via AP)
Irish premier Simon Harris is hugged by his wife Caoimhe after being re-elected to the Dail parliament as a TD for Wicklow on the first count at the election count centre at Shoreline Leisure Greystones in County Wicklow, south of Dublin, Ireland, after the General Election, Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024. (Niall Carson/PA via AP)
Fianna Fail leader Micheal Martin is hoisted up by his sons Cillian and Micheal Aodh, after he was deemed elected in the Cork South Central constituency at the election count centre at Nemo Rangers GAA Club in Cork, after the General Election, Saturday Nov. 30, 2024. (Jacob King/PA via AP)
Sinn Fein president Mary Lou McDonald celebrates with supporters after arriving at the count at the Royal Dublin Society in Dublin, Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024.(AP Photo/Peter Morrison)
FA
People take a break as the election count continues at RDS Simmonscourt after voters went to the polls during Ireland's election, in Dublin, Sunday, Dec. 1, 2024. (Brian Lawless/PA via AP)
The election count continues at RDS, the Royal Dublin Society, after voters went to the polls during Ireland's election in Dublin, Sunday, Dec. 1, 2024.(AP Photo/Peter Morrison)
FA
Fine Gael politician Paschal Donohoe celebrates with supporters at RDS, the Royal Dublin Society, after voters went to the polls during Ireland's election in Dublin, Sunday, Dec. 1, 2024.(AP Photo/Peter Morrison)
FA
Independant candidate Gerard Hutch arrives at thge RDS, the Royal Dublin Society, after voters went to the polls during Ireland's election in Dublin, Sunday, Dec. 1, 2024.(AP Photo/Peter Morrison)
FA
Green Party Leader Rodrick O'Gorman at the Dublin West count centre at Phibblestown Community Centre, Dublin, Sunday Dec. 1, 2024, as vote counting continues for the Irish General Election. (Niall Carson/PA via AP)
Fine Gael's Paschal Donohoe celebrates being elected at RDS Simmonscourt, as the election count continues in Ireland's election, in Dublin, Sunday Dec. 1, 2024. (Brian Lawless/PA via AP)
Taoiseach and Fine Gael leader Simon Harris speaks to the media as he arrives at the election count centre at Shoreline Leisure Greystones in Co Wicklow, after the General Election, Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024. (Niall Carson/PA via AP)
DUBLIN (AP) — Ireland’s two long-dominant center-right parties looked likely to form a new government as results came in Sunday from a fractured national election, though with a reduced vote share and complex coalition negotiations ahead.
In an exception to the global , outgoing governing parties Fianna Fail and took the two largest shares of the vote, narrowly ahead of left-of-center opposition Sinn Fein.
Under Ireland's system of proportional representation, vote share does not translate neatly into seats in parliament. With about two-thirds of results declared, Fianna Fail was on course to be the biggest party in the 174-seat Dáil, the lower house of parliament, with Fine Gael and Sinn Fein battling for second place.
It's certain that no party will have enough seats to govern on its own, and the most likely outcome is a coalition between Fianna Fail, led by , and Fine Gael under outgoing In that case either Harris or Martin — or possibly both, if they strike a job-sharing deal — will become Ireland's next premier, known as the taoiseach.
Sinn Fein, which aims to reunify the Republic of Ireland with the U.K. territory of Northern Ireland, lacks a clear path to power because the other two parties say they won’t work with it, partly because of its historic ties with the Irish Republican Army during three decades of violence in Northern Ireland.
Ireland uses a complex system of proportional representation in which each of the country’s 43 constituencies elects several lawmakers and voters rank candidates in order of preference. As a result, it can take days for full results to be known.
“The people of Ireland have now spoken,†Harris said. “We now have to work out exactly what they have said, and that is going to take a little bit of time.â€
The cost of living — especially Ireland’s acute housing crisis — was a dominant topic in the three-week campaign, alongside immigration, which has become an in a country of 5.4 million people long defined by emigration.
The results of Friday's election mean Ireland has partly bucked the global trend of incumbents being rejected by disgruntled voters after years of pandemic, international instability and cost-of-living pressures.
The next government, like the last, will likely be led by two parties that have dominated Irish politics for the past century. Fine Gael and Fianna Fail have similar policies, but are longtime rivals with origins on opposing sides of Ireland’s 1920s civil war. After the 2020 election ended in a virtual dead heat, they , propped up by the Green Party.
The Greens had a devastating result, losing all but one of their 12 seats. This time, the winning parties may turn to left-leaning Labour or the Social Democrats, or to independent lawmakers, for support.
For all the focus on migration, anti-immigration independents made few breakthroughs. Ireland does not have a significant far-right party to capitalize on the issue.
Reelected Fine Gael lawmaker Paschal Donohoe said the main theme of the election was “the center holding.â€
Nonetheless, the new government will face huge pressure to ease rising homelessness, driven by soaring rents and property prices, and to better absorb a growing number of asylum-seekers. The big parties' share of the vote continues to decline, and voter disaffection expressed itself in support for small parties and independent candidates.
One of the more unorthodox independents was reputed organized crime boss Gerry “the Monk†Hutch, who saw a groundswell of support after he was bailed on money-laundering charges in Spain in November in order to run for election.
Hutch, who last year was acquitted of killing a gangland rival, came within a whisker of winning a seat in Dublin.